Hypotheses:

Software Abundance — we will have 10x amount of software available because of AI
Single use, ephemeral software and hyper-personalized software
Net-new UX/AI paradigms — dynamic UI, widgets and automations in the background that are personalized just to you
Knowledge work will undergo a Jevon’s Paradox - we will have more knowledge work, not less
LLMs aren’t the end-all answer to core intelligence, that’s still an unsolved research problem
Software Has Made Us Soft
There will be way more software engineers, as cost of building goes down
Everyone will be an engineering manager, with AI engineering agents
Engineering will adjust and evolve, like from assembly to Python
Bar for product quality will rise
Switching costs will decline as a moat; way easier to automate pipelines
There’s never been a better time to be a builder

References